Bank of Ireland’s First-Time buyer survey identified the main challenges and impact of Covid-19 for First-time buyers.
52% of first-time buyers say the high cost of buying a home was the biggest challenge they faced in 2020
48% of first-time buyers have said Covid-19 has delayed their plans to buy a home
€550 was the average saved per month by first-time buyers in 2020
55% of first-time buyers will depend on financial help from family or friends to buy their first home.
According to Bank of Ireland’s 2020 first-time buyer survey over half (52%) of first-time buyers said the high cost of buying a home is the biggest challenge they faced in 2020. Lack of supply in desired areas and the ability to save for a deposit are also seen as significant challenges for first-time buyers.
No 2020 survey would be complete without analysing the impact of Covid-19. The survey revealed Covid-19 had a major impact on first-time buyers with 48% saying it had delayed their plans to buy a home, while 23% said it had accelerated their plans. Covid-19 also made first-time buyers re-think the type of property they want to buy as well as the areas they want to buy in. 22% of first-time buyers said they were reconsidering the type of property they wanted to buy and 21% said they are rethinking the location.
The average first-time buyer in 2020 saved €550 a month, the highest since Bank of Ireland started the survey in 2016. Although saving more than in previous years, over half of first-time buyers (55%) said they would still depend on financial help from family or friends to buy their first home.
*Research was conducted by RED C between November 2nd and 3rd 2020 with 204 people aged 25-45 who are ‘planning to buy or build their first home in the next few years’
Bank of Ireland Mortgage Bank trading as Bank of Ireland Mortgages is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland More
Bank of Ireland’s First-Time buyer survey identified the main challenges and impact of Covid-19 for First-time buyers.
Residential property prices for houses and apartments increased by 2.2% nationally in the year to December, according to the latest figures from the Central Statistics Office.
This compares to an increase of 0.2% in the year to November and an increase of 0.3% in the twelve months to December 2019.
In Dublin, residential property prices saw an increase of 1.2% in the year to December, while property prices outside Dublin were 3.1% higher.
In Dublin, house prices increased by 0.2% and apartment prices increased by 5.1%. The highest house price growth in Dublin was in South Dublin at 3.2%, while Dublin City saw a decline of 1.8%.
Outside Dublin, house prices were up by 3.1% and apartment prices up by 4.0%. The region outside of Dublin that saw the largest rise in house prices was the South East at 5.3% – at the other end of the scale, the Mid-West saw a 1.9% decline.
Overall, the national index is 16.1% lower than its highest level in 2007. Dublin residential property prices are 21.8% lower than their February 2007 peak, while residential property prices in the Rest of Ireland are 18.1% lower than their May 2007 peak.
Property prices nationally have increased by 87% from their trough in early 2013. Dublin residential property prices have risen 93.6% from their February 2012 low, whilst residential property prices in the Rest of Ireland are 88.4% higher than at the trough, which was in May 2013. More
A couple earning average wages still cannot afford even the cheapest new apartments in Dublin, according to a new report from the Society of Chartered Surveyors Ireland.
The Real Cost of New Apartment Delivery Report also found most types of apartments are not economically viable for developers to build for sale.
The society’s report found that the situation has improved since its previous study in 2017, with development costs decreasing for two categories of apartments and economic viability also improving.
It stated this was the result of the relaxation of building regulations brought in by ministerial guidelines in 2018, particularly the reduction in car parking spaces and the removal of a requirement that apartments have dual aspect or natural light in two directions.
However, it found that the cheapest two-bed apartment available, which would be a low-spec build in a low-rise suburban development, had a sales price of €375,000.
This would require a deposit of €37,500 and the buyer to have an annual income of at least €96,000.
A couple on average incomes would be earning just €88,000 between them.
The President of the SCSI said supports are needed and that the new Shared Equity Scheme should give apartment buyers a longer payback period because of the higher costs.
Micheál Mahon also said it takes up to 18 months to get a 100-unit scheme to planning and judicial reviews are causing further delay.
“Delays by utility companies, especially Irish Water, are also proving extremely costly and need to be addressed. As this report shows, apartment construction is a costly business,” he said.
The report set out four-category apartment types consisting of low-rise suburban, which is three storeys high; medium-rise suburban (three to six storeys); medium urban (five to eight storeys) and high-rise urban (nine to 15 storeys).
Each category had a range depending on whether the development was high-spec or low-spec.
It calculated that the all-in cost of delivering medium-rise two-bedroom apartments in Dublin ranged from €411,000 for a low-spec unit in the suburbs to €581,000 for a high-spec one in the city.
A profit margin of 15% is then added to see which categories are economically viable for developers to build for homebuyers.
It found that low and medium-rise suburban are viable if they are low-spec, according to current market prices. This is an improvement since 2017 when only low-rise suburban fell into that category.
‘The Real Costs of New Apartment Delivery 2020’ report also found that the actual cost of building a medium-rise apartment makes up 47% of the overall costs.
Other so-called “soft costs”, such as VAT, levies, and fees, make up 42%, with site costs amounting to 11%.
The overall development costs for medium-rise developments have gone down by up to 9% while most categories increased.
Chair of the SCSI working group Paul Mitchell said Build To Rent developments are more economically viable as there are fewer restrictions relating to the apartment mix, car parking and size.
He said they are also more attractive to pension funds, which can take a longer-term view of the asset.
Mr Mitchell added: “It is not surprising therefore that 76% of the units analysed are for rental rather than sale.”
Meanwhile, another report found that Covid-19 had caused a 21% decline in property transactions across the country in the 12 months to November last.
The GeoView Residential Buildings Report View found that in Dublin, the area with the highest number of property transactions was Dublin 15, which includes Blanchardstown and Clonsilla.
The postcode with the lowest average residential property price was €230,233 in Dublin 10, which includes Ballyfermot, while the highest was €771,542 in Dublin 6, which includes Ranelagh. More
Estate agents say they are struggling to meet demand for property at present, especially from first-time buyers.
A survey of 800 agents, carried out by the Society of Chartered Surveyors Ireland, found that over two thirds predicted property price increases in the year ahead with 24% expecting prices to remain the same and 8% anticipating reductions.
The average price increase in 2021 would be of the order of 4%, the report concludes, with lack of supply acting as the main driver of prices.
Property prices in Dublin are expected to see average increases of 3%, while Connacht-Ulster – which has some of the lowest prices – will see an increase of 6%.
An increase of 4% is predicted for Leinster while prices are forecast to increase by 5% in Munster.
The report’s findings underline the scale of the supply challenges facing the market.
While three quarters of agents reported sales instructions increasing or remaining the same in the third quarter, by the final three months of the year the figure had dropped to just over half with the remainder reporting a falloff in instructions.
Several agents said the slowdown was ultimately due to lack of supply with potential vendors deferring selling due to the lack of alternative options.
The Covid-19 pandemic largely dictated the market in 2020 and it looks like that trend will continue in 2021.
“The transition to working from home has led to a reordering of priorities and is driving interest in larger properties in regional locations with good broadband and lots of amenities as well as holiday homes in secondary locations,” TJ Cronin, Vice President of the Society of Chartered Surveyors of Ireland, said.
“The trend away from urban areas is also reflected in the survey’s price projections,” Mr Cronin stated.
“While Covid-19 has badly affected certain sectors, it has enabled prospective buyers who work in areas which haven’t been hugely impacted, such as pharma, tech, financial and the public sector, to increase their savings.
“We’ve also seen a big inflow of Irish people returning from abroad, to Dublin in particular, and this has underpinned prices at the upper end of the market. In a situation where you have very limited supply – 83% of agents report having low levels of stock available in Q4 – the fear of missing out on a property will very often trump the fear of paying over the odds,” he added.
According to an analysis by consultants EY, the construction sector will not return to 2019 levels of completions until 2024 at the earliest.
It is estimated that in excess of 21,000 housing units were completed here in that year with the figure expected to have dipped below the 20,000 mark once again 2020.
A newly instituted closure of building sites in recent weeks will likely impact supply in 2021.
The Central Bank, among others, estimates that up to 35,000 units need to be completed every year in Ireland to keep up with demand.
The SCSI concludes that housing supply and demand equilibrium may not be achieved until after 2030.
By that stage, it predicts the sector would need to be building in excess of 60,000 units per year, over three times the current output and almost double the official estimates. More
Updated guidelines regarding property viewings have come into effect from today.
The Property Services Regulatory Authority (PSRA), the Institute of Professional Auctioneers & Valuers (IPAV) and the Society of Chartered Surveyors Ireland (SCSI) have updated their ‘Property Services Providers Guidance to implementing Plan for Living with Covid-19‘ document which was released last year.
The document was originally published last October to guide agents on how to operate under the various levels of the Government’s Living with Covid strategy.
Given the rising number of Covid-19 cases over the Christmas and New Year period, new restrictions have come into effect today which will be reviewed on January 31st.
The biggest change is that there will now be no in-person viewings of properties unless you’re already at the sale agreed stage with contracts signed.
A statement from the PSRA said: “Due to the increasing and deeply concerning daily COVID-19 case numbers in Ireland over the very recent period, Government has requested that further tightening of restrictions in delivery of property services be addressed and implemented.
“Accordingly, IPAV, PSRA and SCSI have reviewed and updated the Property Services Providers Guidance to Implementing a Plan for Living with Covid-19.
“The revised Guidance document is updated to reflect the further tightening of restrictions in the provision of property services effective from 13 January 2021, which will be reviewed on 31 January 2021.
“It is critical that you read and fully understand the new section ‘Level 5 Restrictions effective on 13 January 2021 for review on 31 January 2021’ in the document.
“In order for property service providers, customers and the public remain safe and well, you are requested to comply with these new revised guidelines during the provision of all property services.”
The guidance can be read in full here. More
It has been a year like no other for the Irish property market with Covid-19 having an impact on our lives even down to how we view property. While the pandemic has had an impact on sales and stock, traffic to MyHome.ie has flourished with many people dreaming of that dream home. That was a…
The post Top 10 most viewed properties on MyHome.ie in 2020 appeared first on MyHome.ie Advice & Blog. More
Residential property prices decreased by 0.8% nationally in the year to September, according to the latest figures from the Central Statistics Office (CSO).
This compares to a decrease of 0.9% in the year to August and an increase of 1.1% in the twelve months to September 2019.
In Dublin, residential property prices saw a decline of 1.8% in the year to September, while property prices outside Dublin were 0.1% higher.
In Dublin, house prices decreased by 1.6% and apartment prices decreased by 0.6%. The highest house price growth in Dublin was in Fingal at 2.1%, while Dublin City saw a decline of 4.2%.
Outside Dublin, house prices were up by 0.2% and apartment prices up by 0.4%. The region outside of Dublin that saw the largest rise in house prices was the Midlands at 4.0% – at the other end of the scale, the Mid-West saw a 5.7% decline.
Overall, the national index is 17.6% lower than its highest level in 2007. Dublin residential property prices are 22.7% lower than their February 2007 peak, while residential property prices in the Rest of Ireland are 20.1% lower than their May 2007 peak.
Property prices nationally have increased by 83.7% from their trough in early 2013. Dublin residential property prices have risen 91.5% from their February 2012 low, whilst residential property prices in the Rest of Ireland are 83.9% higher than at the trough, which was in May 2013. More
The housing market has not been severely impacted by Covid-19 and has outperformed expectations, according to a new report from Goodbody.
Its latest BER Housebuilding Tracker – which it calculates using data from Building Energy Regulation certificates – estimates that 5,500 units were completed in the third quarter of the year.
That was up from 3,290 in the second quarter of the year, when the pandemic restrictions were at their most severe and building sites were closed down for several weeks.
According to Goodbody’s calculations, that left output just 3% lower year on year.
“This suggests that productivity levels have not been as severely affected by social distancing measures as we would have feared,” Dermot O’Leary, chief economist with Goodbody said.
“We now expect 20,000 units to be completed this year, down 8% year on year, and up from our previous estimate of 16,500,” he said.
The Central Bank estimates that 35,000 completions a year are needed to satisfy demand.
However, Goodbody also said there were some indications that the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic may be longer lasting.
Many of the completions in the most recent quarter were accounted for by developments being completed at a faster pace.
In the three months to August, housing starts fell by over a third.
Goodbody also revised downwards its expectation for house price reductions.
It now expects prices to fall by 5% by the middle of next year – half its previous forecast.
Rents are expected to fall to a greater extent, the stockbrokers also predicted.
“Mortgage lending is making some recovery, but we still expect new lending to fall 20% in 2020, before growing by 9% next year,” Mr O’Leary said.
“Given the unpredictable nature of the virus and the government reaction to it, forecasts are still subject to a higher degree of uncertainty than normal,” he added.
Tags: Ber housebuilding tracker, Goodbody
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Following on from the country’s move to Level 5 at midnight and the publication of the new guidance protocols published by the PSRA, IPAV and the SCSI, we caught up with IPAV CEO Pat Davitt for a special edition webinar where he outlined what the new protocols mean for agents.
In the Webinar, Pat clarifies that:
Agents can travel beyond their 5km radius or across county boundaries to carry out tasks associated with the business
Agents will not be held responsible for providing a viewing to someone who has travelled more than 5km for it or across county boundaries
All estate agent offices should remain closed in Level 5
The new protocols were signed off on by Government so are fully approved
Check out the full chat with Pat below….
The full document containing guidelines for the various levels in the Government’s Living with Covid plan can be found here.
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